Processus d’élicitation

Table des matières

INTRODUCTION
CHAPITRE 1 REVUE DE LITTÉRATURE
1.1 Avant-propos
1.2 Modélisation de la fatigue dans les turbines hydrauliques
1.3 Inspections des fissures
CHAPITRE 2 IMPRECISE PROBABILITIES IN FATIGUE RELIABILITY ASSESSMENT OF HYDRAULIC TURBINES
2.3.1 Case study
2.3.2 Case matrix
2.3.3 Distribution support
2.3.4 Requirement of the reliability model
2.3.5 Imprecise theories processing
2.3.5.1 Converting imprecise probability
2.3.5.2 Evidence distributions processing
2.3.6 Results and discussion
2.4 Conclusion
2.5 Acknowledgment
CHAPITRE 3 A COMPARISON BETWEEN AGGREGATION BEFORE AND AFTER PROPAGATION BASED ON A RELIABILITY MODEL
3.1 Abstract
3.2 Introduction
3.3 Methodology
3.3.1 Cumulative Distribution Averaging (CDA
3.3.2 Gap between experts opinions assessment
3.4 Study case
3.4.1 Reliability model description
3.4.2 Studied expert opinions cases
3.4.3 Results
3.5 Conclusion
3.6 Acknowledgments
CHAPITRE 4 REPRODUCTIBILITY INVESTIGATION OF ELICITATIONS TECHNIQUES IN RISK ASSESSMENT FOR HYDRAULIC TURBINES
4.1 Abstract
4.2 Introduction
4.3 Methodology
4.3.1 Elicitation process
4.3.2 Elicitation techniques
4.3.2.1 Technique A
4.3.2.2 Technique B
4.3.2.3 Technique C
4.3.2.4 Technique D
4.3.3 Elicitation techniques comparison
4.3.4 Expert opinion assessment
4.4 Results
4.5 Discussion
4.6 Conclusion
4.7 Acknowledgements
CONCLUSION
RECOMMANDATIONS
BIBLIOGRAPHIE